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Red161
374851.4
218624.3
62056.1
Blue160
482135.6
379335.1
42292.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13016850100150200250161160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
6Leave0
5Coral scored#7
25Coral points36
31Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +2
21Coral scored#21
74Coral points74
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
18Processor points12
16Net points24
34Algae points36
108Total teleop110
Reef
10L4#13
8L3#7
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
8Foul points0
161Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#19
56.12.1
49.251.3
Auto17.2
Teleop38.6
End0.3
blue by 36.1
422
#1
92.20.8
78.479.2
Auto21.1
Teleop59.3
End11.7
Second
51.42.1
37.439.4
Auto9.8
Teleop31.7
End9.9
red by 15.8
4821
#22
35.60.8
29.129.9
Auto7.8
Teleop22.3
End5.5
Third
2186
#30
24.32.1
24.926.9
Auto6.4
Teleop8.4
End9.5
blue by 10.8
3793
#35
35.10.8
28.829.6
Auto8.9
Teleop23.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned