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Red205
172753.3
40150.8
83659.1
Blue147
97746.6
188541.7
53937.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13910350150200205147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+36Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
6Leave6
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points9
34Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +17
26Coral scored#25
95Coral points90
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
12Processor points12
28Net points16
40Algae points28
135Total teleop118
Reef
14L4#8
7L3#8
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#33
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
205Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#14
59.13.8
45.349.1
Auto13.6
Teleop39.3
End6.2
red by 12.5
977
#44
46.61.4
40.141.6
Auto10.1
Teleop30.1
End6.4
Second
53.33.8
43.847.6
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End9.6
red by 11.5
1885
#20
41.71.4
27.228.6
Auto5.3
Teleop33.8
End2.7
Third
401
#9
50.83.8
33.337.1
Auto15.3
Teleop27.7
End7.8
red by 13.6
539
#24
37.21.4
28.329.7
Auto6.4
Teleop28.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned