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Red143
62056.1
313653.0
162963.1
Blue55
34629.9
374851.4
621321.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175985015020025014355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+80Teleop
+82Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +59
21Coral scored#8
75Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
103Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#3
10L3#2
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
6Foul points0
143Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#13
63.11.9
59.257.3
Auto20.0
Teleop40.6
End2.5
red by 11.7
51.43.5
40.937.4
Auto9.8
Teleop31.7
End9.9
Second
620
#19
56.11.9
51.749.8
Auto17.2
Teleop38.6
End0.3
red by 26.2
346
#51
29.93.5
45.642.0
Auto9.5
Teleop20.2
End0.2
Third
3136
#10
53.01.9
46.544.6
Auto13.1
Teleop30.7
End9.2
red by 31.2
6213
#50
21.83.5
13.09.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsMissed