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Red274
207361.4
441494.8
1690107.4
Blue285
2910114.7
1323111.2
427272.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271316200250300350400274285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+1
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +5
0Leave0
14Coral scored#15
68Coral points73
68Total auto73
TeleoperatedRed +4
34Coral scored#40
124Coral points144
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
24Processor points12
32Net points20
56Algae points32
180Total teleop176
Reef
18L4#14
14L3#22
10L2#12
6L1 · trough#7
60Game pieces#62
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
274Total score285

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
Unranked
107.40.3
106.8107.1
Auto32.4
Teleop63.3
End11.7
blue by 7.3
2910
Unranked
114.70.3
115.2114.8
Auto28.4
Teleop73.4
End13.0
Second
4414
Unranked
94.80.3
94.294.5
Auto20.2
Teleop66.4
End8.1
blue by 16.5
1323
Unranked
111.20.3
111.7111.4
Auto27.5
Teleop71.4
End12.3
Third
2073
Unranked
61.40.3
60.961.2
Auto12.9
Teleop39.5
End9.0
blue by 10.6
4272
Unranked
72.00.3
72.572.1
Auto18.9
Teleop43.1
End10.0