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Red301
2910114.7
1323111.2
427272.0
Blue260
2056120.5
461369.1
699570.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316264200250300350400301260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+29Teleop
+39Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave9
15Coral scored#11
77Coral points56
80Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +14
38Coral scored#25
135Coral points91
4Processor algae#5
6Net algae#12
24Processor points30
24Net points48
48Algae points78
183Total teleop169
Reef
21L4#12
11L3#10
13L2#8
8L1 · trough#6
63Game pieces#53
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +41
2Foul points0
301Total score260

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
Unranked
114.70.0
115.6115.6
Auto28.4
Teleop73.4
End13.0
blue by 5.8
2056
Unranked
120.50.0
120.5120.5
Auto31.6
Teleop76.5
End12.4
Second
1323
Unranked
111.20.0
112.2112.1
Auto27.5
Teleop71.4
End12.3
red by 40.8
6995
Unranked
70.50.0
70.570.5
Auto18.0
Teleop45.2
End7.3
Third
4272
Unranked
72.00.0
72.972.9
Auto18.9
Teleop43.1
End10.0
red by 2.9
4613
Unranked
69.10.0
69.169.1
Auto12.2
Teleop46.3
End10.5