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Red223
804477.7
394078.5
2481101.5
Blue297
2910114.7
1323111.2
427272.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262321200250300350223297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+43
Teleop+52
Endgame+72
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +43
6Leave9
6Coral scored#14
31Coral points71
37Total auto80
TeleoperatedBlue +9
27Coral scored#35
96Coral points127
5Processor algae#4
11Net algae#7
30Processor points24
44Net points28
74Algae points52
170Total teleop179
Reef
12L4#13
11L3#16
6L2#10
4L1 · trough#10
49Game pieces#60
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +74
0Foul points2
223Total score297

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
Unranked
101.50.9
103.1102.2
Auto25.0
Teleop65.3
End11.2
blue by 13.2
2910
Unranked
114.70.2
117.0116.8
Auto28.4
Teleop73.4
End13.0
Second
3940
Unranked
78.50.9
80.179.2
Auto18.0
Teleop51.7
End8.8
blue by 32.7
1323
Unranked
111.20.2
113.5113.3
Auto27.5
Teleop71.4
End12.3
Third
8044
Unranked
77.70.9
79.278.3
Auto15.1
Teleop54.2
End8.4
red by 5.6
4272
Unranked
72.00.2
74.374.1
Auto18.9
Teleop43.1
End10.0