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Red83
1048613.3
773818.0
821452.6
Blue71
639420.6
1052635.0
1013118.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions945902040801201401608371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points23
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +11
11Coral scored#7
39Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
53Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points2
83Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8214
#21
52.60.8
49.048.2
Auto15.1
Teleop34.3
End3.3
red by 17.7
35.00.9
24.325.2
Auto10.2
Teleop21.2
End3.5
Second
7738
#25
18.01.0
17.416.4
Auto2.3
Teleop13.6
End2.0
blue by 2.7
6394
#38
20.60.9
15.316.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.5
End1.9
Third
13.31.0
17.016.0
Auto2.9
Teleop8.6
End1.8
blue by 5.2
18.40.5
18.619.1
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed