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Red57
1000014.2
630420.0
64333.3
Blue131
881012.1
861347.2
773818.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions588805010015057131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+28
Fouls+74
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +29
4Coral scored#9
13Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
17Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
24Foul points70
57Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6304
#23
20.02.9
19.716.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End3.5
blue by 27.2
8613
#11
47.21.3
47.846.6
Auto8.6
Teleop32.2
End6.5
Second
14.22.9
18.415.6
Auto0.8
Teleop9.8
End3.5
blue by 3.8
7738
#25
18.02.1
16.414.3
Auto2.3
Teleop13.6
End2.0
Third
6433
#43
3.32.9
17.915.0
Auto3.2
Teleop-1.6
End1.7
blue by 8.8
8810
#34
12.12.1
12.510.4
Auto2.3
Teleop8.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned