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Red101
544950.3
741317.0
1054143.4
Blue46
704710.7
801524.8
700215.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11150010015010146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+45Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +31
11Coral scored#4
39Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
57Total teleop26
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
101Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.4
29.329.7
Auto13.3
Teleop28.8
End8.1
red by 25.5
8015
#33
24.80.4
25.124.7
Auto6.2
Teleop17.3
End1.3
Second
43.40.2
45.445.6
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End8.7
red by 28.1
7002
#37
15.20.7
8.57.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Third
7413
#39
17.00.2
19.920.1
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End1.3
red by 6.3
7047
#35
10.70.7
16.415.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed