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Red136
429328.5
906835.9
690747.2
Blue115
66223.0
299659.3
955219.5
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8899050150200250300136115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+33Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points24
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +36
21Coral scored#12
76Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
104Total teleop68
Reef
9L4#8
8L3#5
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
136Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.23.5
31.334.8
Auto13.1
Teleop32.7
End1.5
blue by 12.1
59.30.8
49.350.1
Auto14.7
Teleop37.3
End7.3
Second
35.94.4
26.230.6
Auto5.6
Teleop28.6
End1.7
red by 12.8
662
#48
23.01.4
20.221.6
Auto2.5
Teleop16.6
End4.0
Third
4293
#27
28.52.9
24.427.4
Auto5.9
Teleop22.3
End0.4
red by 9.0
9552
#41
19.51.4
19.821.1
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned