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Red183
459340.3
634839.5
651054.7
Blue111
364828.1
462436.5
224049.7
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145116100200183111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+34Teleop
+50Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points20
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +31
19Coral scored#17
69Coral points62
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
24Processor points12
16Net points4
40Algae points16
109Total teleop78
Reef
9L4#6
9L3#8
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#24
BargeRed +16
24Cage & park8
24Total endgame8
Penalties & totalRed +72
24Foul points2
183Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.70.3
54.654.9
Auto13.3
Teleop34.4
End7.0
red by 5.0
2240
#22
49.70.3
49.649.2
Auto11.2
Teleop38.5
End0.1
Second
4593
#16
40.30.3
40.240.5
Auto11.7
Teleop23.1
End5.6
red by 3.8
4624
#19
36.50.5
36.435.9
Auto9.8
Teleop25.6
End1.2
Third
6348
#35
39.50.3
39.539.7
Auto5.8
Teleop32.2
End1.5
red by 11.5
28.10.3
27.927.6
Auto8.2
Teleop14.4
End5.5