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Red80
1033328.1
316617.5
999316.5
Blue31
429311.1
297217.9
999518.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435901002003004005008031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+57Teleop
+57Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +61
14Coral scored#0
51Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
61Total teleop0
Reef
5L4#0
5L3#1
4L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
6Foul points14
80Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.11.4
23.825.3
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End0.7
red by 9.5
9995
#18
18.64.1
12.48.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Second
3166
#22
17.51.4
19.721.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End1.7
blue by 0.5
2972
#27
17.92.4
18.115.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End1.5
Third
9993
#21
16.52.4
9.111.5
Auto1.4
Teleop13.7
End1.5
red by 5.4
4293
#37
11.12.4
23.120.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsEarned