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Red81
99909.3
324540.1
224026.3
Blue117
593320.6
958624.6
449984.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9915405020025030081117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+24
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
6Total auto30
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points51
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
71Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
81Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.11.3
40.539.2
Auto8.3
Teleop28.9
End2.9
blue by 44.4
84.50.9
80.679.6
Auto19.7
Teleop53.1
End11.7
Second
2240
#40
26.31.3
49.548.2
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End0.6
red by 1.7
9586
#14
24.61.4
27.726.3
Auto4.9
Teleop19.4
End0.2
Third
9990
#39
9.32.2
10.58.3
Auto1.0
Teleop7.3
End1.1
blue by 11.3
5933
#26
20.60.9
23.022.0
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned