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Red99
406872.3
593320.6
66211.7
Blue81
208337.1
203647.4
441815.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221080501502009981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+40Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#7
47Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
65Total teleop39
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
99Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.30.6
72.972.2
Auto21.6
Teleop47.8
End2.9
red by 24.9
47.41.5
54.352.8
Auto8.9
Teleop28.8
End9.7
Second
5933
#26
20.60.6
20.319.6
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End0.6
blue by 16.4
37.11.5
27.926.4
Auto8.3
Teleop22.5
End6.3
Third
662
#36
11.70.6
15.014.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End1.3
blue by 3.8
4418
#32
15.51.5
21.219.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned