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Red42
99909.3
297217.9
372915.3
Blue28
955131.4
429311.1
748515.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34790501001504228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +17
7Coral scored#2
25Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
29Total teleop12
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points6
42Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2972
#27
17.90.5
15.715.2
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End1.5
blue by 13.4
9551
#25DQ
31.43.4
25.522.1
Auto6.8
Teleop23.1
End1.4
Second
3729
#34
15.30.5
18.417.9
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End0.9
red by 0.1
7485
#13
15.23.4
20.717.3
Auto1.9
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Third
9990
#39
9.30.8
3.93.1
Auto1.0
Teleop7.3
End1.1
blue by 1.8
4293
#37
11.13.4
20.717.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned