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Red104
999936.9
999518.6
141033.6
Blue69
958624.6
455022.2
99909.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70542040608010012010469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points4
33Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +10
14Coral scored#8
49Coral points27
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
0Processor points12
16Net points16
16Algae points28
65Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#3
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
104Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.93.3
24.828.2
Auto10.5
Teleop25.4
End1.1
red by 12.3
9586
#14
24.61.1
20.221.4
Auto4.9
Teleop19.4
End0.2
Second
1410
#10
33.62.0
33.035.0
Auto7.4
Teleop24.2
End2.0
red by 11.4
4550
#38
22.21.1
22.723.8
Auto3.4
Teleop17.6
End1.2
Third
9995
#18
18.63.3
16.119.5
Auto6.1
Teleop11.0
End1.5
red by 9.3
9990
#39
9.31.8
9.010.7
Auto1.0
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed