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Red140
324540.1
316617.5
999936.9
Blue111
364828.0
406872.3
549314.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions591410100200140111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+29Teleop
+17Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points24
33Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +23
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
91Total teleop68
Reef
10L4#5
7L3#7
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
12Foul points0
140Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.13.4
39.242.7
Auto8.3
Teleop28.9
End2.9
blue by 32.2
72.31.4
76.775.3
Auto21.6
Teleop47.8
End2.9
Second
36.95.7
9.815.5
Auto10.5
Teleop25.4
End1.1
red by 9.0
3648
#12
28.01.4
25.624.2
Auto7.7
Teleop15.0
End5.2
Third
3166
#22
17.53.4
16.319.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End1.7
red by 3.4
5493
#35
14.01.7
18.717.0
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned