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Red169
17524.8
17675.8
740787.1
Blue81
206435.9
346434.9
17744.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21011305015025030016981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+100Teleop
+90Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave6
8Coral scored#2
42Coral points10
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +65
20Coral scored#7
72Coral points25
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
18Processor points0
12Net points12
30Algae points12
102Total teleop37
Reef
12L4#4
5L3#3
6L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +88
0Foul points2
169Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.10.4
86.986.5
Auto24.6
Teleop49.7
End12.8
red by 42.5
177
#14
44.60.8
44.643.8
Auto9.4
Teleop25.2
End10.0
Second
176
#2
75.80.4
75.675.2
Auto19.6
Teleop47.9
End8.3
red by 39.9
2064
#21
35.90.8
35.835.0
Auto6.3
Teleop21.9
End7.7
Third
175
#23
24.80.4
24.524.1
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.5
blue by 10.2
3464
#18
34.90.8
34.934.1
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End1.0