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Red176
740778.5
514253.8
1024519.3
Blue50
135027.7
217026.3
91938.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13547010015020017650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+116Teleop
+136Endgame
+126Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave3
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points9
43Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +85
22Coral scored#4
79Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
6Processor points0
20Net points4
26Algae points4
105Total teleop20
Reef
13L4#2
7L3#1
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#7
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +126
2Foul points12
176Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.53.5
65.268.8
Auto22.2
Teleop44.5
End11.8
red by 50.8
1350
#26
27.71.2
17.216.1
Auto5.4
Teleop18.8
End3.4
Second
53.83.5
37.541.1
Auto13.6
Teleop32.8
End7.3
red by 27.5
2170
#16
26.31.2
25.224.0
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End3.6
Third
19.33.5
18.021.6
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End2.0
red by 11.1
9193
#38
8.21.2
13.212.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned10%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed