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Qual 232025 NE District Hartford Event
Red77
769420.4
49873.3
57144.3
Blue116
346131.1
514253.8
17527.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7711505010015020077116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +13
10Coral scored#14
37Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
57Total teleop70
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#6
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points6
77Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#12
44.30.0
44.7→44.7
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End2.6
blue by 9.5
5142
#4
53.80.4
46.8→47.2
Auto13.6
Teleop32.8
End7.3
Second
7694
#32
20.40.0
21.7→21.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.6
End2.2
blue by 10.7
3461
#20
31.10.4
27.0→27.4
Auto3.9
Teleop23.7
End3.5
Third
4987
#39
3.30.0
7.5→7.5
Auto3.7
Teleop-0.0
End-0.5
blue by 24.6
175
#31
27.90.4
26.8→27.2
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned