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Red132
22830.3
15535.5
346442.0
Blue86
17527.9
1024519.3
19569.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11413005010015020025013286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+36Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +32
13Coral scored#12
47Coral points43
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
18Processor points6
20Net points4
38Algae points10
85Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
132Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3464
#15
42.01.4
37.038.4
Auto4.8
Teleop33.8
End3.4
blue by 27.7
195
#2
69.72.0
68.166.1
Auto18.6
Teleop41.5
End9.7
Second
155
#18
35.51.4
33.835.3
Auto8.3
Teleop23.3
End3.9
red by 7.6
175
#31
27.92.0
27.825.8
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End3.2
Third
228
#7
30.31.4
33.735.2
Auto6.2
Teleop19.1
End5.0
red by 11.0
19.32.0
20.018.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned