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Red102
102710.1
23643.3
888932.3
Blue83
786943.9
1026610.2
1024519.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988420406012014016010283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+7
+1Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +3
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
61Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
18Foul points0
102Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#8
43.30.2
41.341.4
Auto7.0
Teleop28.3
End7.9
blue by 0.6
7869
#11
43.90.6
43.744.3
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End1.8
Second
8889
#13
32.30.2
30.831.0
Auto5.4
Teleop26.1
End0.7
red by 13.0
19.30.6
17.318.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End2.0
Third
1027
#34
10.10.2
6.36.5
Auto2.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 0.1
10.20.6
10.010.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed