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Red117
712752.3
216831.3
1026610.2
Blue48
49873.3
715347.2
102710.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975905015011748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+85Teleop
+73Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +81
20Coral scored#1
71Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
85Total teleop4
Reef
8L4#1
4L3#1
6L2#1
5L1 · trough#0
26Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
8Foul points12
117Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.31.6
47.549.1
Auto8.8
Teleop41.8
End1.7
red by 5.1
7153
#10
47.21.4
43.241.7
Auto10.3
Teleop31.1
End5.8
Second
2168
#17
31.31.6
24.225.8
Auto4.8
Teleop24.4
End2.0
red by 21.1
1027
#34
10.11.4
6.55.0
Auto2.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Third
10.21.6
10.612.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.6
red by 6.9
4987
#39
3.31.4
5.43.9
Auto3.7
Teleop-0.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsEarned