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Red121
109926.5
18129.4
17341.8
Blue140
1013326.6
23643.3
365420.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84886080100120140121140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +2
16Coral scored#22
58Coral points78
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
24Processor points6
12Net points12
36Algae points18
94Total teleop96
Reef
11L4#11
3L3#5
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points12
121Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#24
41.81.4
36.237.6
Auto9.8
Teleop30.5
End1.6
blue by 1.4
236
#8
43.32.1
32.534.6
Auto7.0
Teleop28.3
End7.9
Second
181
#35
29.41.6
18.620.2
Auto4.0
Teleop24.1
End1.2
red by 2.8
26.62.1
17.619.6
Auto4.5
Teleop19.7
End2.4
Third
1099
#30
26.51.4
17.318.7
Auto3.9
Teleop19.5
End3.1
red by 6.0
3654
#21
20.52.1
18.120.1
Auto3.5
Teleop14.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed