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Red107
217026.3
19569.7
22830.3
Blue54
49873.3
346131.1
17341.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1428105010020010754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+41Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
58Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
107Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2
69.71.1
67.366.2
Auto18.6
Teleop41.5
End9.7
red by 27.9
173
#24
41.81.6
42.440.8
Auto9.8
Teleop30.5
End1.6
Second
228
#7
30.31.1
30.629.6
Auto6.2
Teleop19.1
End5.0
blue by 0.8
3461
#20
31.11.6
31.329.7
Auto3.9
Teleop23.7
End3.5
Third
2170
#16
26.31.1
25.023.9
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End3.6
red by 23.1
4987
#39
3.31.6
4.62.9
Auto3.7
Teleop-0.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
60%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed