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Red60
1026610.2
769420.4
17527.9
Blue85
91938.2
786943.9
17821.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5778020401001201406085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+7
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave0
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points15
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +27
5Coral scored#10
17Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
23Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points18
60Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#31
27.90.2
26.726.9
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End3.2
blue by 16.0
7869
#11
43.90.5
43.643.1
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End1.8
Second
7694
#32
20.40.2
20.220.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.6
End2.2
blue by 1.0
178
#29
21.30.5
21.821.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End1.8
Third
10.20.2
10.010.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.6
red by 2.0
9193
#38
8.20.5
8.78.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed