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Red135
15535.5
346442.0
57144.3
Blue129
314637.0
346131.1
786943.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331216080100140160180200135129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points14
20Total auto20
Teleoperatedlevel
19Coral scored#19
67Coral points67
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
18Processor points18
20Net points20
38Algae points38
105Total teleop105
Reef
7L4#10
7L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +6
6Foul points0
135Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#12
44.30.0
44.944.9
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End2.6
red by 0.4
7869
#11
43.90.3
43.643.9
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End1.8
Second
3464
#15
42.00.0
42.642.6
Auto4.8
Teleop33.8
End3.4
red by 5.0
3146
#14
37.00.3
36.737.0
Auto5.0
Teleop25.4
End6.6
Third
155
#18
35.50.0
36.136.1
Auto8.3
Teleop23.3
End3.9
red by 4.4
3461
#20
31.10.3
30.831.1
Auto3.9
Teleop23.7
End3.5