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Red89
22830.3
216831.3
17341.8
Blue109
314637.0
346131.1
786943.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11312640608010014016018089109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+24
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +24
10Coral scored#16
35Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
55Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +20
4Foul points0
89Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#24
41.80.4
42.341.8
Auto9.8
Teleop30.5
End1.6
blue by 2.0
7869
#11
43.90.1
43.743.6
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End1.8
Second
2168
#17
31.30.4
31.731.3
Auto4.8
Teleop24.4
End2.0
blue by 5.7
3146
#14
37.00.1
36.836.7
Auto5.0
Teleop25.4
End6.6
Third
228
#7
30.30.4
30.730.3
Auto6.2
Teleop19.1
End5.0
blue by 0.8
3461
#20
31.10.1
30.930.8
Auto3.9
Teleop23.7
End3.5