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Red91
17528.9
346433.0
17730.0
Blue64
1041327.1
808528.8
107123.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104730501502002503009164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+17Teleop
+21Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points15
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +20
13Coral scored#9
47Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
57Total teleop37
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
6Foul points0
91Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.5
34.934.4
Auto7.4
Teleop23.5
End2.0
red by 4.1
8085
#15
28.80.6
31.931.3
Auto5.1
Teleop21.4
End2.3
Second
177
#9
30.00.5
31.130.6
Auto6.8
Teleop16.3
End6.9
red by 2.9
27.10.6
16.315.7
Auto2.9
Teleop20.2
End4.1
Third
175
#3
28.90.5
27.226.6
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End2.2
red by 5.7
1071
#17
23.20.6
25.124.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed