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Red102
596834.2
580945.1
Blue72
509810.8
512626.7
882529.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9481020406012014016010272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +14
13Coral scored#12
46Coral points42
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
6Processor points0
16Net points12
22Algae points12
68Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#3
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
6Foul points0
102Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5809
#35
45.10.8
44.745.4
Auto14.4
Teleop29.2
End1.5
red by 15.7
8825
#36
29.40.2
37.337.1
Auto3.2
Teleop22.6
End3.5
Second
5968
#18
34.20.8
33.834.6
Auto9.2
Teleop23.9
End1.0
red by 7.4
5126
#23
26.70.2
26.826.6
Auto7.0
Teleop19.3
End0.4
Third
4.70.8
5.76.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End0.7
blue by 6.1
5098
#40
10.80.2
10.810.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed