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Red99
545433.3
180218.7
181031.0
Blue157
941042.0
580179.8
511918.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8415605010020025030099157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+42
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave0
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points37
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +21
19Coral scored#19
69Coral points70
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
83Total teleop104
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#6
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
99Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#10
33.30.3
34.634.3
Auto6.5
Teleop27.7
End-1.0
blue by 46.5
79.80.6
72.773.3
Auto18.7
Teleop53.1
End8.0
Second
31.00.3
27.126.8
Auto6.2
Teleop22.1
End2.6
blue by 11.0
42.00.6
42.442.9
Auto7.3
Teleop27.4
End7.3
Third
1802
#25
18.70.3
22.221.9
Auto1.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 0.2
5119
#30
18.50.6
13.814.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned