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Red72
526823.0
511918.5
495920.4
Blue87
512626.7
596834.2
234518.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70990501502007287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
10Coral scored#10
37Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
59Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
72Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5268
#39
23.00.0
25.625.6
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End3.6
blue by 11.1
5968
#18
34.20.2
34.634.4
Auto9.2
Teleop23.9
End1.0
Second
4959
#16
20.40.0
19.619.7
Auto3.5
Teleop16.9
End0.1
blue by 6.3
5126
#23
26.70.2
26.626.4
Auto7.0
Teleop19.3
End0.4
Third
5119
#30
18.50.0
14.314.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.5
blue by 0.3
2345
#22
18.80.2
18.318.1
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed