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Red136
740765.2
42924.4
71617.0
Blue31
462818.5
1024518.0
919313.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11044010015013631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+79Teleop
+99Endgame
+105Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +55
14Coral scored#3
49Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
67Total teleop12
Reef
9L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#4
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +105
12Foul points6
136Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.23.7
48.852.5
Auto20.4
Teleop34.9
End10.0
red by 46.7
4628
#17
18.52.4
15.613.2
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End0.4
Second
429
#12
24.43.7
23.527.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End5.0
red by 6.4
18.02.4
19.617.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.0
Third
716
#30
17.03.7
18.822.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End2.2
red by 3.8
9193
#32
13.22.4
11.28.8
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed