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Red92
17643.3
919313.2
22830.2
Blue51
1024518.0
17725.5
356618.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7963020401001201401609251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+11Teleop
+23Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +14
8Coral scored#5
29Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
39Total teleop25
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
18Foul points0
92Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#8
43.30.2
35.435.6
Auto11.6
Teleop26.4
End5.2
red by 17.8
177
#16
25.51.0
29.528.5
Auto6.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
Second
228
#6
30.20.2
25.926.0
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End7.7
red by 11.5
3566
#20
18.70.6
15.314.7
Auto2.5
Teleop14.7
End1.5
Third
9193
#32
13.20.2
11.311.5
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End4.0
blue by 4.9
18.01.0
15.214.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned