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Red60
808533.0
365418.1
574618.2
Blue92
17725.5
462818.5
23038.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62902040801001201406092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
10Coral scored#12
37Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
47Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#6
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
60Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8085
#15
33.00.1
28.228.3
Auto4.3
Teleop23.3
End5.3
blue by 5.5
230
#11
38.41.4
33.534.9
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End3.3
Second
5746
#22
18.20.1
16.416.5
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End1.1
blue by 7.3
177
#16
25.51.4
29.530.9
Auto6.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
Third
3654
#27
18.10.1
14.014.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.7
blue by 0.4
4628
#17
18.51.4
14.716.1
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed