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Red90
574618.2
199122.1
206434.5
Blue52
919313.2
37197.7
363418.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8339020601001201401609052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+44Teleop
+34Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
18Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +38
14Coral scored#6
52Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
62Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#1
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
4Foul points0
90Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.7
26.126.7
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End6.8
red by 15.8
3634
#10
18.80.5
18.018.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End3.7
Second
1991
#26
22.10.7
22.022.7
Auto4.1
Teleop15.3
End2.7
red by 9.0
9193
#32
13.20.6
10.210.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End4.0
Third
5746
#22
18.20.6
18.319.0
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End1.1
red by 10.5
3719
#36
7.70.6
7.17.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned