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Qual 722025 NE District Waterbury Event
Red77
786930.6
919313.2
365418.1
Blue117
107330.8
514237.5
109917.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638820408010012014077117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+18
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +8
14Coral scored#16
50Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
64Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#6
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
77Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7869
#33
30.61.3
30.6→31.9
Auto2.0
Teleop29.0
End-0.4
blue by 6.9
5142
#14
37.53.1
33.7→36.8
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End3.8
Second
3654
#27
18.11.3
16.7→18.1
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.7
blue by 12.7
1073
#3
30.82.8
27.3→30.1
Auto4.4
Teleop18.8
End7.6
Third
9193
#32
13.21.3
11.8→13.2
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End4.0
blue by 4.1
1099
#29
17.33.1
14.2→17.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned