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Red92
206434.5
457210.7
23038.4
Blue66
99929.0
83935.7
1024518.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87934060801001201401609266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+32Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave9
6Coral scored#3
29Coral points13
35Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +19
10Coral scored#7
37Coral points26
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
49Total teleop30
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +26
2Foul points2
92Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#11
38.40.2
36.837.0
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End3.3
red by 2.7
839
#9
35.70.4
36.135.7
Auto5.3
Teleop23.8
End6.6
Second
34.50.2
32.933.2
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End6.8
red by 5.6
999
#4
29.00.4
29.429.0
Auto5.8
Teleop19.5
End3.7
Third
4572
#31
10.70.2
9.19.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 7.3
18.00.4
18.518.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.0