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Red247
366386.0
2780.8
10363.4
Blue79
765738.1
683828.0
139158.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26212810015020030035024779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+134Teleop
+168Endgame
+168Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
33Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +114
34Coral scored#13
124Coral points48
3Processor algae#2
9Net algae#1
18Processor points12
36Net points4
54Algae points16
178Total teleop64
Reef
10L4#7
9L3#4
12L2#2
8L1 · trough#2
51Game pieces#18
BargeRed +34
36Cage & park2
36Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +168
0Foul points0
247Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.00.6
84.184.7
Auto18.0
Teleop56.5
End11.5
red by 27.3
1391
#45
58.64.5
62.758.2
Auto13.0
Teleop36.1
End9.6
Second
27
#18
80.80.6
77.678.2
Auto18.6
Teleop51.4
End10.8
red by 42.7
7657
#50
38.14.5
35.631.1
Auto8.8
Teleop29.1
End0.2
Third
103
#30
63.40.6
64.765.4
Auto7.3
Teleop51.8
End4.3
red by 35.4
6838
#67
28.04.5
37.432.9
Auto6.8
Teleop20.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed