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Red259
10363.4
581375.0
461173.7
Blue187
453450.1
306166.9
353965.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24117450100150200300259187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+60Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
9Leave9
8Coral scored#5
42Coral points23
51Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +41
38Coral scored#25
136Coral points91
3Processor algae#5
7Net algae#5
18Processor points30
28Net points20
46Algae points50
182Total teleop141
Reef
16L4#9
13L3#10
10L2#4
7L1 · trough#7
56Game pieces#40
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
259Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#14
75.02.0
74.576.5
Auto17.7
Teleop48.1
End9.2
red by 8.1
3061
#63
66.90.5
54.955.4
Auto17.0
Teleop45.1
End4.8
Second
73.72.0
77.279.2
Auto18.5
Teleop46.3
End9.0
red by 8.8
3539
#27
65.00.5
68.468.9
Auto16.8
Teleop41.8
End6.4
Third
103
#30
63.42.0
65.467.4
Auto7.3
Teleop51.8
End4.3
red by 13.3
4534
#65
50.10.5
45.345.8
Auto14.2
Teleop35.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned77%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed