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Red206
565439.0
860871.5
448178.5
Blue235
327684.2
960968.7
442261.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193218100150250300350206235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +32
3Leave6
11Coral scored#4
55Coral points20
58Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +51
25Coral scored#38
90Coral points137
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#3
12Processor points24
20Net points12
32Algae points36
122Total teleop173
Reef
12L4#16
9L3#13
8L2#8
7L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
206Total score235

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4481
#16
78.50.3
79.679.9
Auto22.0
Teleop46.9
End9.6
blue by 5.7
3276
#42
84.20.7
84.084.7
Auto11.0
Teleop62.0
End11.2
Second
8608
#35
71.50.3
72.472.7
Auto19.5
Teleop41.5
End10.5
red by 2.8
9609
#31
68.70.7
65.366.0
Auto12.0
Teleop48.4
End8.4
Third
5654
#49
39.00.3
29.229.5
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End7.5
blue by 22.2
4422
#44
61.20.7
56.657.2
Auto13.4
Teleop39.4
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned