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Red255
35984.8
202252.4
353965.0
Blue185
107361.3
565439.0
350155.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233164100150200250300255185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+68Teleop
+68Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave0
9Coral scored#9
43Coral points44
49Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +63
28Coral scored#25
102Coral points89
6Processor algae#3
10Net algae#2
36Processor points18
40Net points8
76Algae points26
178Total teleop115
Reef
14L4#13
10L3#9
8L2#9
5L1 · trough#3
53Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
2Foul points0
255Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#10
84.82.8
83.586.3
Auto17.3
Teleop54.0
End13.5
red by 23.5
1073
#21
61.31.7
58.360.0
Auto15.6
Teleop35.6
End10.1
Second
3539
#27
65.02.8
66.168.9
Auto16.8
Teleop41.8
End6.4
red by 9.2
3501
#39
55.81.7
55.056.8
Auto13.9
Teleop40.0
End1.8
Third
2022
#64
52.42.8
50.653.4
Auto7.5
Teleop42.6
End2.3
red by 13.4
5654
#49
39.01.7
34.736.4
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned