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Red183
310053.8
546077.7
442261.2
Blue146
642133.5
553044.5
6781.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211187100150200250300183146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+29Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave6
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points30
44Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +21
19Coral scored#23
67Coral points84
3Processor algae#2
10Net algae#2
18Processor points12
40Net points8
58Algae points20
125Total teleop104
Reef
7L4#9
9L3#6
5L2#8
5L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#33
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
183Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#11
77.70.1
75.475.3
Auto22.3
Teleop49.4
End6.1
blue by 3.2
67
#12
81.01.9
86.284.3
Auto19.3
Teleop51.1
End10.5
Second
4422
#44
61.20.1
58.057.9
Auto13.4
Teleop39.4
End8.4
red by 16.7
5530
#53
44.51.9
51.749.8
Auto10.0
Teleop33.0
End1.5
Third
3100
#40
53.80.1
51.851.6
Auto5.2
Teleop40.6
End8.0
red by 20.3
6421
#61
33.51.9
36.034.1
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
90%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsMissed