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Red179
719752.5
317374.8
30268.2
Blue177
608335.1
325574.5
349232.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22614050100200250300179177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
8Coral scored#5
41Coral points24
41Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +7
25Coral scored#23
90Coral points81
3Processor algae#5
4Net algae#5
18Processor points30
16Net points20
34Algae points50
124Total teleop131
Reef
14L4#7
10L3#6
3L2#8
6L1 · trough#7
40Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
179Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#45
74.82.2
73.671.4
Auto17.8
Teleop45.4
End11.7
red by 0.3
3255
#39
74.52.1
72.174.2
Auto15.7
Teleop48.1
End10.6
Second
302
#35
68.22.2
70.968.7
Auto20.9
Teleop44.1
End3.2
red by 33.1
6083
#67
35.12.1
31.333.4
Auto7.8
Teleop23.2
End4.1
Third
7197
#60
52.52.2
56.254.0
Auto11.8
Teleop40.1
End0.6
red by 19.9
3492
#61
32.62.1
30.532.6
Auto7.3
Teleop25.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
87%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned