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Red222
1029135.2
183373.9
406878.0
Blue173
948440.9
691153.1
379253.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19213450100150250222173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+39Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave0
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points16
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
30Coral scored#28
108Coral points101
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#7
12Processor points12
32Net points28
44Algae points40
152Total teleop141
Reef
15L4#12
9L3#8
7L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
47Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
222Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#14
78.02.5
69.572.0
Auto21.5
Teleop52.1
End4.4
red by 24.7
3792
#10
53.32.1
47.049.1
Auto10.6
Teleop33.4
End9.3
Second
1833
#22
73.92.5
73.175.5
Auto17.3
Teleop47.2
End9.5
red by 20.8
6911
#57
53.12.1
38.540.6
Auto7.0
Teleop41.2
End4.9
Third
35.22.5
20.523.0
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End6.0
blue by 5.8
9484
#55
40.92.1
32.334.5
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned