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Red147
460777.6
931245.8
614645.1
Blue189
478662.6
703463.3
142573.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169200100150250147189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+52
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +35
6Leave3
2Coral scored#10
10Coral points48
16Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +17
19Coral scored#25
69Coral points90
3Processor algae#5
7Net algae#3
18Processor points30
28Net points12
46Algae points42
115Total teleop132
Reef
9L4#16
6L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#7
31Game pieces#43
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
147Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#31
77.60.8
68.667.8
Auto16.4
Teleop52.8
End8.4
red by 4.4
1425
#12
73.20.4
66.967.4
Auto19.5
Teleop43.6
End10.0
Second
9312
#64
45.80.8
52.651.8
Auto12.0
Teleop27.2
End6.7
blue by 17.4
7034
#38
63.30.4
57.157.5
Auto16.6
Teleop40.9
End5.9
Third
6146
#53
45.11.0
37.636.6
Auto4.7
Teleop34.9
End5.5
blue by 17.5
4786
#15
62.60.4
58.659.0
Auto17.2
Teleop41.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsMissed74%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsMissed