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Red202
608335.1
167164.2
725767.8
Blue245
406878.0
460777.6
179696.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13325150100150200300350202245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+43
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
9Coral scored#10
45Coral points49
51Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +36
28Coral scored#34
101Coral points123
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
125Total teleop161
Reef
15L4#12
8L3#11
8L2#11
6L1 · trough#10
42Game pieces#52
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
202Total score245

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7257
#33
67.83.7
56.059.7
Auto14.3
Teleop44.7
End8.8
blue by 28.7
96.50.2
92.692.8
Auto25.7
Teleop58.9
End11.8
Second
1671
#24
64.23.7
59.863.5
Auto17.0
Teleop40.5
End6.7
blue by 13.7
4068
#14
78.00.2
69.369.5
Auto21.5
Teleop52.1
End4.4
Third
6083
#67
35.14.1
19.423.5
Auto7.8
Teleop23.2
End4.1
blue by 42.5
4607
#31
77.60.2
68.468.6
Auto16.4
Teleop52.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned