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Red224
642469.1
699569.7
41858.6
Blue135
601737.2
919947.6
691153.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20010850150250224135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+79Teleop
+91Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
0Leave6
9Coral scored#1
44Coral points7
44Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +48
32Coral scored#17
116Coral points62
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
18Processor points24
20Net points20
38Algae points44
154Total teleop106
Reef
13L4#5
17L3#5
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
49Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
0Foul points2
224Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6995
#13
69.72.0
58.560.5
Auto17.3
Teleop45.2
End7.3
red by 16.6
6911
#57
53.10.5
38.038.5
Auto7.0
Teleop41.2
End4.9
Second
69.12.0
64.666.6
Auto13.4
Teleop43.1
End12.6
red by 21.5
9199
#48
47.60.5
44.044.5
Auto10.9
Teleop28.7
End8.0
Third
418
#20
58.62.0
59.761.7
Auto14.0
Teleop35.5
End9.1
red by 21.4
6017
#44
37.20.5
31.832.4
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
66%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsMissed