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Red263
317374.8
17979.1
465578.8
Blue233
179696.5
263081.6
445171.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236262150200250300350263233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
14Coral scored#10
68Coral points49
68Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +10
25Coral scored#29
89Coral points103
5Processor algae#3
10Net algae#7
30Processor points18
40Net points28
70Algae points46
159Total teleop149
Reef
15L4#12
8L3#13
12L2#6
4L1 · trough#8
54Game pieces#49
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
263Total score233

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#5
79.10.8
77.278.0
Auto15.2
Teleop55.8
End8.0
blue by 17.4
96.50.4
97.096.6
Auto25.7
Teleop58.9
End11.8
Second
78.80.8
77.077.8
Auto21.3
Teleop48.0
End9.5
blue by 2.8
81.60.4
82.181.7
Auto21.6
Teleop48.4
End11.6
Third
3173
#45
74.80.8
73.073.8
Auto17.8
Teleop45.4
End11.7
red by 3.9
4451
#34
71.00.4
71.571.1
Auto14.5
Teleop50.1
End6.4