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Red206
66868.1
17967.7
18079.4
Blue152
881739.6
999722.1
238353.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171108050150200250300350400206152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+52Teleop
+52Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +55
34Coral scored#24
124Coral points87
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
24Processor points6
12Net points12
36Algae points18
160Total teleop105
Reef
15L4#8
10L3#7
5L2#9
7L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +54
2Foul points0
206Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
79.41.2
78.279.4
Auto17.6
Teleop54.6
End7.2
red by 25.6
53.80.9
53.053.8
Auto10.5
Teleop34.4
End8.9
Second
179
#2
67.71.2
66.567.7
Auto9.8
Teleop48.4
End9.4
red by 28.1
39.60.9
38.739.6
Auto5.3
Teleop30.2
End4.2
Third
6686
#17
8.11.2
6.98.1
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End0.7
blue by 14.0
9997
#20
22.11.2
20.922.1
Auto2.9
Teleop16.5
End2.7